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How to Change Your Mind Without Becoming a Weathervane
Two ways to fail: the weathervane that turns with every gust, and the bunker that never turns. Five moves from Darwin, Popper, Tetlock, Munger, and Feynman for being a compass instead.
9 min read
The colonoscopy study is right. The lesson is not the obvious one.
Expert endoscopists' unaided detection rate fell from 28.4 to 22.4 percent after a few months beside an AI. Here is one reading of why, and what it does and does not prove.
6 min read
Baphomet was never a devil
A figure invented by a French occultist as a symbol of synthesis, weaponized for satanic panic, then flattened into shorthand for edginess. The actual story is more interesting than any of those uses.
3 min read