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Trusting Your Gut Without Fooling Yourself
The first two posts said distrust yourself. This one says trust your gut. They are the same discipline. Kahneman, Klein, Simon, Ericsson, and the two questions that tell a real hunch from ego.
8 min read
How to Change Your Mind Without Becoming a Weathervane
Two ways to fail: the weathervane that turns with every gust, and the bunker that never turns. Five moves from Darwin, Popper, Tetlock, Munger, and Feynman for being a compass instead.
9 min read